Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.182571 0.194724 0.207456 0.221821 0.237615 0.254497 0.273961
2025-06-08 0.157185 0.175008 0.194851 0.218739 0.246931 0.279413 0.320063
2025-06-15 0.143351 0.164851 0.189929 0.221708 0.261449 0.310255 0.375941
2025-06-22 0.129479 0.152435 0.180141 0.216635 0.264364 0.326044 0.414213
2025-06-29 0.117378 0.140684 0.169562 0.208772 0.261928 0.333561 0.441313
2025-07-06 0.107967 0.131346 0.160962 0.202225 0.259935 0.340641 0.467803
2025-07-13 0.103743 0.128203 0.159923 0.205362 0.271117 0.366965 0.526240
2025-07-20 0.099930 0.125231 0.158736 0.207964 0.281489 0.392947 0.588013
2025-07-27 0.096053 0.121850 0.156651 0.208947 0.289320 0.415646 0.647851
2025-08-03 0.091941 0.117858 0.153381 0.207818 0.293617 0.432923 0.700824
2025-08-10 0.087841 0.113629 0.149465 0.205341 0.295408 0.446012 0.748032
2025-08-17 0.083382 0.108650 0.144161 0.200314 0.292522 0.450544 0.778970
2025-08-24 0.079738 0.104750 0.140344 0.197529 0.293434 0.462525 0.829074
2025-08-31 0.076519 0.101330 0.137077 0.195427 0.295389 0.476831 0.887884
2025-09-07 0.074800 0.099995 0.136834 0.198117 0.305851 0.508535 0.994065
2025-09-14 0.071486 0.096143 0.132536 0.193823 0.303394 0.514482 1.039663
2025-09-21 0.067827 0.091626 0.126995 0.187098 0.295905 0.509296 1.055806
2025-09-28 0.064670 0.087744 0.122273 0.181480 0.290022 0.506783 1.078739
2025-10-05 0.063613 0.086994 0.122421 0.184176 0.300041 0.539368 1.207850
2025-10-12 0.062514 0.086127 0.122323 0.186410 0.309349 0.571776 1.347873
2025-10-19 0.061187 0.084844 0.121483 0.187254 0.315952 0.599004 1.482015
2025-10-26 0.059568 0.083042 0.119706 0.186285 0.318760 0.617653 1.594787
2025-11-02 0.057812 0.080959 0.117375 0.184158 0.318966 0.629971 1.690090